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A novel estimator of between-study variance in random-effects models


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- A meta-analysis is an approach that combines results from different studies on the same topic.
- The random-effects model in a meta-analysis enables the modeling of differences between studies by incorporating the between-study variance..
- The DSLD2 method is compared with 6 other meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes across 8 aspects under three hypothesis settings.
- Keywords: Differentially expressed genes, Between-study variance, Random-effects model, Meta-analysis.
- The statistical power could be raised through meta-analysis by combining information from individual studies that have small sample sizes [5, 6].
- Meta-analysis is an important method for providing reliable and consistent differentially expressed gene lists by integrating information on the same disease [8].
- As meta-analysis methods use available datasets, they are rel- atively inexpensive [9].
- Meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes, which con- tribute to the early diagnosis and treatment of diseases, can be broadly divided into two classes: the fixed-effects model (FEM) and the random-effects model (REM) [11]..
- The fixed-effects model assumes that all studies in a meta-analysis have the same true effect size [12].
- The random-effects model assumes that different studies in a meta-analysis have the different true effect sizes [12]..
- meta-analysis methods, including DerSimonian and Laird estimate (DSL) [15], restricted maximum likelihood esti- mate (RML) and Sidik and Jonkman estimate (SJ) [16], were later applied to microarray studies.
- The random- effects methods in meta-analysis make possible the mod- eling of differences and the differences between studies often caused by the study design, sample sizes, sex/gender differences in participants and so on.
- The random-effects method based on D 2 g and other meta-analysis models were applied to simulation datasets of gene expression levels.
- Then, we compared the DSLD2 method with other meta-analysis methods, including the DSL method, the DSLR2 method, the fixed-effects model, the PM method, the RML method and the SJ method across the following metrics: the false discovery rates (FDRs), accuracy, precision, false positive rate (FPR), sensitivity, precision-recall curve and the receiver operating charac- teristic curve (ROC).
- DSLD2 performed well among the meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes under the first hypothesis.
- k), k is the number of stud- ies in a meta-analysis.
- Meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes Fixed-effects model.
- The main component of the random-effects meta-analysis model is the between-study variability.
- Meta-analysis methods used in simulation datasets Two class simulation datasets were generated to observe the performance of DSLD2 method.
- We compared the performances of DSLD2 method and other 6 meta- analysis methods based on effect-sizes in histograms, precision, accuracy, the false discovery rates (FDRs), false positive rate (FPR), Matthews correlation coeffi- cient (MCC), sensitivity, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and precision-recall curves under three hypotheses using simulation datasets of gene expression levels.
- A common method was used to produce simulation data for comparing the ability of detecting DE genes among 16 meta-analysis methods under the three hypothesis set- tings [30].
- analysis methods.
- However, the FDR 1 value of the DSLD2 method was smaller than that of the other 5 meta-analysis methods..
- The FDR 2 value of the DSLD2 method was 0.0236, which was the smallest among 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes..
- 0.05) among different groups detected by various meta-analysis meth- ods (see Fig.
- Line graphs and tables were constructed to compare the precision among 7 meta-analysis methods (see Fig.
- Under the first hypothesis, the DSLR2 method had the lowest preci- sion among the meta-analysis methods combining effect sizes.
- Under the second and third hypothesis, the FEM method had the highest precision values among 7 meta- analysis methods combining effect sizes (see Additional file 3: Figures S1, S2 and Additional file 4: Tables S2, S3)..
- Among the meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes, DSLD2 had the highest accuracy among 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes under the first hypothesis (see Fig.
- The accu- racy of FEM method is the lowest among 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes under the first hypoth- esis (see Fig.
- Under the second hypothesis, the accuracy of FEM method was highest among 7 meta-analysis methods (Additional file 3:.
- Under the third hypothesis, the SJ method had the highest accuracy values among 7 meta-analysis methods when the num- bers of sample sizes per study were between 60 and 220 (Additional file 3: Figure S4 and Additional file 4:.
- Under the second and the third hypothesis, the FEM method had the lowest FPR values among 7 meta- analysis methods (see Additional file 3: Figures S5, S6 and Additional file 4: Tables S8, S9)..
- Under the first hypothesis, the DSLD2 method had the highest MCC among the 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes (see Fig.
- The FEM method had the lowest MCC values among the 7 meta-analysis methods under the first hypothesis (see Fig.
- Under the first hypothesis, the SJ method had the lowest MCC values among the 6 random-effects meta-analysis methods (see.
- 1 The histograms of DE genes detected by the 7 meta-analysis methods.
- Under the second, the FEM method had the highest MCC values among the 7 meta-analysis methods (see Additional file 3: Figure S7 and Additional file 4: Table S11).
- Under the third hypoth- esis, the SJ method had the highest MCC values among 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes when the numbers of sample sizes per study were between 60 and 220 (see Additional file 3: Figure S8 and Additional file 4:.
- among the 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes (see Fig.
- The FEM method had the lowest sensitivity values among the 7 meta-analysis methods under the first hypothesis (see Fig.
- Under the sec- ond hypothesis, the 7 meta-analysis methods had close sensitivity curves (see Additional file 3: Figure S9 and Additional file 4: Table S14).
- Under the third hypothesis, the random-effect meta-analysis methods had close sensi- tivity curves which are higher than the curve of the FEM method.
- 2 Plot of the precision under the first hypothesis.
- Under the first hypothesis, the DSLD2 method had the highest roc curve among all 7 meta-analysis methods (see Fig.
- Under the first hypothesis, the precision-recall curve of DSLD2 method was the highest among seven meta-analysis meth- ods (see Fig.
- Under the second hypothe- sis, the precision-recall curve of DSLD2 method was the highest among the curves of random-effects meta-analysis methods (see Additional file 3: Figure S13).
- The random- effects meta-analysis methods had close precision-recall curves which are lower than the curve of FEM under the third hypothesis (see Additional file 3: Figure S14)..
- The accuracy of the DSLD2 method is the highest among that of the 7 meta-analysis methods.
- The MCC value of the DSLD2 method is the highest among that of the 7 meta-analysis methods.
- The sensitivity value of DSLD2 is the highest among that of the 7 meta-analysis methods.
- After within- study data preprocessing, filtering out genes with very low gene expression and excluding small variation genes, the meta-analysis of the DSLD2 method was conducted on 3257 target genes in 305 subjects (168 AD and 137 controls)..
- The four meta-analysis methods found 299 over- lapping DE genes.
- 7 ROC curves of various meta-analysis methods under the first hypothesis.
- The ROC curve of DSLD2 is the highest among that of the 7 meta-analysis methods.
- 8 Precision-recall plot of various meta-analysis methods under the first hypothesis.
- The precision-recall curve of DSLD2 is the highest among that of 7 meta-analysis methods.
- 9 Bias plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- 10 RMSE plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- This paper proposed a meta-analysis method (DSLD2) based on new between-study variance estimator D 2 g .
- biases and RMSE of D 2 g were lowest among 6 meta analysis methods when τ 2 was set to 0 and SMD was chosen as the effect size measure (see Figs.
- We applied 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes to simulation datasets of gene expression levels and compared the performance between the DSLD2 method and the other meta-analysis models.
- 11 Bias plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- 12 RMSE plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- the 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes (see Table 1)..
- The accuracy, MCC, sensitivity, ROC and precision- recall curve of the DSLD2 method were the highest among the 7 meta-analysis methods (see Figs.
- method was lowest among random-effects meta-analysis methods (see Figs.
- The FEM method had the highest values of the precision, accu- racy, FPR and MCC among 7 meta-analysis methods based on effect sizes (see Additional file 3: Figures S1, S3, S5 and S7)..
- 13 Mean of I 2 plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- 14 Mean of I 2 plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 0.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S15 Bias plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S16 RMSE plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S17 Bias plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S18 RMSE plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S19 Mean of I 2 plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and SMD is chosen as the effect size measure.
- Figure S20 Mean of I 2 plot of 6 meta-analysis methods when τ 2 is set to 1.0 and MD is chosen as the effect size measure..
- Because the data in this meta-analysis are from published articles and the data are publicly available, it was not necessary to obtain ethics approval and consent to participate..
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